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Decision Value
Ranks markets where monitoring is most useful because movement, liquidity, uncertainty, and timing intersect.
Signal Lab
Signal Lab for "find high-value signals that need monitoring."
Value functions convert raw market data into ranked intelligence: where to look, what is fragile, what is unsupported, and what should become an agent workflow.
Value Functions
Signal ranking users cannot get from a raw market board.
GET /api/public/veritas/v1/signal-lab
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Unsupported Move
Flags probability moves that appear large relative to public confidence, source detail, or liquidity.
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Resolution Risk
Finds active markets close to resolution where rules, final evidence, or source freshness matter.
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Narrative Heat
Ranks markets where attention and movement are rising together.
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Consensus Fragility
Surfaces markets with low confidence, high volatility, or weak public support around the implied probability.
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Monitor Priority
Turns the market set into a practical queue for Veritas agents and MCP workflows.
Ranked Signals
Highest-value reads right now.
Narrative Heat75
GPT-6 released before 2027?
71%high
GPT-6 released before 2027? has elevated attention, volume, or momentum pressure.
Narrative heat helps identify where consensus is changing before a user asks.
Add to a morning brief and compare against related packets.Resolution Risk65
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday?
63%medium
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday? is nearing a decision window or has rule/freshness risk in public data.
Resolution ambiguity can distort probability reads near the end of an event.
Queue a Resolution Watch Agent and verify rule language.Narrative Heat64
Major Iran nuclear agreement by July?
22%medium
Major Iran nuclear agreement by July? has elevated attention, volume, or momentum pressure.
Narrative heat helps identify where consensus is changing before a user asks.
Add to a morning brief and compare against related packets.Decision Value61
GPT-6 released before 2027?
71%medium
GPT-6 released before 2027? has enough movement, uncertainty, and timing pressure to be worth monitoring.
Decision value measures where user attention is most useful, not where to trade.
Open a Decision Room and attach probability-move and evidence-gap monitors.Narrative Heat60
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday?
63%medium
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday? has elevated attention, volume, or momentum pressure.
Narrative heat helps identify where consensus is changing before a user asks.
Add to a morning brief and compare against related packets.Decision Value59
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday?
63%medium
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday? has enough movement, uncertainty, and timing pressure to be worth monitoring.
Decision value measures where user attention is most useful, not where to trade.
Open a Decision Room and attach probability-move and evidence-gap monitors.Monitor Priority59
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday?
63%medium
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday? is a strong candidate for automated monitoring.
Monitor priority converts market noise into an actionable research queue.
Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.Monitor Priority58
GPT-6 released before 2027?
71%medium
GPT-6 released before 2027? is a strong candidate for automated monitoring.
Monitor priority converts market noise into an actionable research queue.
Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.Decision Value54
Major Iran nuclear agreement by July?
22%medium
Major Iran nuclear agreement by July? has enough movement, uncertainty, and timing pressure to be worth monitoring.
Decision value measures where user attention is most useful, not where to trade.
Open a Decision Room and attach probability-move and evidence-gap monitors.Monitor Queue
Signals ready for agent workflows.
GPT-6 released before 2027?75Add to a morning brief and compare against related packets.
Bitcoin above $100,000 by Friday?59Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.
GPT-6 released before 2027?58Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.
Major Iran nuclear agreement by July?51Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.
AI chip export controls expand this quarter?50Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.
Federal Reserve rate cut in June?46Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.
A new national polling leader before September?37Create a Forecast Agent workflow with material-move triggers.